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Red131
207554.5
188537.2
260127.0
Blue133
540666.8
481827.6
228322.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86858090100110120130131133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#13
54.52.1
36.738.8
Auto2.4
Teleop52.1
End0.0
blue by 12.3
66.82.2
56.058.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop66.9
End0.0
Second
1885
#29
37.22.1
31.433.5
Auto0.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 9.6
4818
#19
27.62.2
10.412.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
2601
#62
27.02.1
20.923.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 4.9
2283
#73
22.12.2
21.723.9
Auto0.7
Teleop21.5
End0.0