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Red174
372814.5
254114.1
551014.9
Blue97
56554.4
565932.1
247151.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1278105010015020025017497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
114.12.5
106.1108.6
Auto14.2
Teleop99.9
End0.0
red by 62.8
2471
#35
51.30.3
50.050.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Second
5510
#60
14.93.3
6.69.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 17.3
5659
#61
32.10.4
30.731.1
Auto0.6
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
3728
#72
14.53.3
11.114.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 10.1
5655
#75
4.40.4
10.410.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.8
End0.0