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Red44
372814.5
228322.1
124133.6
Blue122
130620.9
421521.6
1656.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58105015020025044122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#49
33.61.2
34.032.9
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 22.8
16
#24
56.41.0
57.258.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop56.8
End0.0
Second
2283
#73
22.11.2
20.419.2
Auto0.7
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
4215
#64
21.61.0
24.725.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
3728
#72
14.51.2
13.111.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1306
#59
20.91.0
19.420.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.0
End0.0