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Qual 832015 Carson Division
Red149
252139.4
290528.4
254114.1
Blue170
208561.1
173087.8
562521.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181154100200250149170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
114.11.7
115.1→113.4
Auto14.2
Teleop99.9
End0.0
red by 26.3
1730
#4
87.80.3
83.6→83.9
Auto15.0
Teleop72.8
End0.0
Second
2521
#63
39.41.7
39.2→37.4
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
blue by 21.7
2085
#33
61.10.3
57.5→57.8
Auto0.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Third
2905
#39
28.41.7
29.4→27.7
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 6.6
5625
#66
21.80.3
23.3→23.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.3
End0.0