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Qual 842015 Carson Division
Red156
20358.8
481827.6
449948.4
Blue132
171024.2
325631.3
150163.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151076080100140160180156132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#11
58.81.9
54.0→56.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop59.1
End0.0
blue by 4.6
1501
#21
63.41.0
63.0→64.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop63.8
End0.0
Second
4499
#44
48.41.9
43.4→45.3
Auto1.7
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 17.0
3256
#70
31.31.0
24.0→25.0
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
Third
4818
#19
27.61.9
20.4→22.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 3.5
1710
#57
24.21.0
25.2→26.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0