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Qual 902015 Carson Division
Red180
541641.1
512250.3
23655.8
Blue169
208561.1
481827.6
145831.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13910250150200250180169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#9
55.82.1
52.0→54.1
Auto6.5
Teleop49.3
End0.0
blue by 5.3
2085
#33
61.12.9
57.8→60.7
Auto0.5
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
5122
#23
50.32.1
50.8→52.9
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
red by 18.5
1458
#68
31.82.9
31.1→34.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
5416
#12
41.12.1
35.3→37.4
Auto0.8
Teleop40.3
End0.0
red by 13.4
4818
#19
27.62.9
22.3→25.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0