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Red134
332418.9
438452.2
403956.4
Blue68
425342.7
33729.4
136917.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1229105010015020013468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#14
56.40.6
55.155.7
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 13.7
4253
#53
42.71.5
45.844.2
Auto0.4
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Second
4384
#25
52.20.6
50.851.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 22.8
337
#39
29.41.5
33.031.5
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Third
3324
#57
18.90.6
16.016.6
Auto1.1
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 1.1
1369
#69
17.81.5
20.218.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0