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Red47
526043.7
529117.1
264822.9
Blue81
55467.9
102461.8
356631.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87930501502002503003504781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#40
43.72.2
46.344.1
Auto0.1
Teleop43.6
End0.0
blue by 18.1
1024
#10
61.80.7
58.157.4
Auto2.7
Teleop59.1
End0.0
Second
2648
#75
22.92.2
25.923.7
Auto0.8
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 8.8
3566
#44
31.70.7
33.232.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
5291
#76
17.12.2
18.616.4
Auto0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 9.2
5546
#67
7.90.7
4.03.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0