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Qual 112015 Carver Division
Red172
32945.4
263043.9
198685.0
Blue138
438149.2
350420.2
543137.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16267050100200250300172138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#3
85.01.0
79.6→80.5
Auto6.9
Teleop78.1
End0.0
red by 35.7
4381
#45
49.22.7
46.6→49.3
Auto0.6
Teleop48.6
End0.0
Second
329
#30
45.41.0
42.8→43.8
Auto5.1
Teleop40.3
End0.0
red by 7.6
5431
#26
37.83.3
22.2→25.5
Auto0.6
Teleop37.1
End0.0
Third
2630
#18
43.91.0
30.3→31.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
red by 23.7
3504
#56
20.22.7
15.5→18.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0