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Red126
356631.7
425342.7
142538.5
Blue161
353660.4
77115.0
171849.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048820406080120140160180126161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#53
42.71.3
41.342.6
Auto0.4
Teleop42.3
End0.0
blue by 17.7
60.43.4
44.047.3
Auto1.7
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Second
1425
#46
38.51.3
37.238.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 10.7
1718
#35
49.23.4
39.242.5
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Third
3566
#44
31.71.3
27.328.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 16.7
771
#70
15.03.4
10.814.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0