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Red132
12828.5
283455.4
543137.8
Blue96
159252.1
568916.2
314042.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115935015020013296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#32
55.40.8
54.755.5
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
1592
#37
52.10.2
48.348.1
Auto5.8
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Second
5431
#26
37.80.8
35.936.7
Auto0.6
Teleop37.1
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3140
#48
42.20.2
38.037.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
128
#47
28.50.8
25.326.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
red by 12.3
5689
#55
16.20.2
14.013.8
Auto1.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0