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Red125
543731.9
7547.9
77115.0
Blue142
82950.4
19350.1
540246.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63154050100200250125142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#34
47.92.3
41.944.1
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
blue by 2.5
829
#15
50.40.1
45.945.7
Auto1.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Second
5437
#36
31.92.3
25.728.0
Auto2.0
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 18.2
193
#38
50.10.1
51.751.6
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
Third
771
#70
15.02.3
12.214.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 31.4
5402
#22
46.50.1
47.146.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop46.9
End0.0