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Red172
353660.4
418351.8
188437.3
Blue104
263043.9
12660.0
54585.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14010050200250172104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.9
57.259.1
Auto1.7
Teleop58.7
End0.0
red by 0.4
126
#9
60.00.3
60.259.9
Auto0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
Second
4183
#12
51.81.9
46.148.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 7.9
2630
#18
43.90.3
41.841.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
Third
1884
#31
37.31.9
35.937.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.8
End0.0
red by 31.4
5458
#74
5.90.3
8.58.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.0