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Red52
54585.9
365332.1
403956.4
Blue130
77115.0
176867.4
314042.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011905015020025052130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#14
56.42.3
55.753.4
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0
blue by 11.0
1768
#43
67.40.5
66.867.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop67.9
End0.0
Second
3653
#64
32.12.3
34.432.1
Auto0.5
Teleop31.6
End0.0
blue by 10.1
3140
#48
42.20.5
37.838.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
5458
#74
5.92.3
8.25.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 9.2
771
#70
15.00.5
14.515.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0