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Red138
568916.2
263043.9
14439.6
Blue147
438452.2
276760.8
21619.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77135050100150200250138147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#18
43.92.4
41.543.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
blue by 16.9
2767
#24
60.80.8
61.362.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Second
144
#49
39.62.4
34.236.7
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0
blue by 12.5
4384
#25
52.20.8
51.452.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop52.3
End0.0
Third
5689
#55
16.22.4
13.816.2
Auto1.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 3.1
216
#62
19.30.8
18.519.3
Auto0.8
Teleop18.5
End0.0