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Red90
400152.1
58511.0
188437.3
Blue84
551514.8
171849.2
17246.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961100501502002503003504009084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#19
52.10.6
52.752.1
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
1718
#35
49.21.4
47.646.2
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Second
1884
#31
37.30.6
37.937.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.8
End0.0
blue by 9.4
172
#42
46.71.4
48.146.7
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
585
#66
11.00.6
11.611.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5515
#73
14.81.4
16.214.8
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0