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Red224
7547.9
142538.5
97178.1
Blue123
213046.2
233757.4
356631.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153130100200250224123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
78.13.7
76.179.9
Auto6.3
Teleop71.8
End0.0
red by 20.7
2337
#13
57.40.8
59.258.4
Auto1.9
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
75
#34
47.93.7
44.147.9
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
red by 1.6
2130
#17
46.20.8
47.046.2
Auto0.2
Teleop46.0
End0.0
Third
1425
#46
38.53.7
34.838.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 6.8
3566
#44
31.70.8
32.531.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0