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Qual 152015 Carver Division
Red158
540246.5
159252.1
551514.8
Blue105
341954.6
186827.5
350718.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96946080120140158105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#37
52.13.0
45.3→48.3
Auto5.8
Teleop46.3
End0.0
blue by 2.5
3419
#21
54.60.3
63.5→63.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop55.2
End0.0
Second
5402
#22
46.53.0
38.9→41.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop46.9
End0.0
red by 18.9
1868
#41
27.50.3
15.8→16.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
5515
#73
14.83.7
13.2→16.9
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3507
#68
18.30.3
19.7→20.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop18.8
End0.0