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Red99
332418.9
491554.6
12828.5
Blue130
546522.3
526043.7
188437.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70782004006008001,0001,2001,4001,60099130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#28
54.61.3
43.344.5
Auto0.1
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 11.0
5260
#40
43.72.5
44.146.7
Auto0.1
Teleop43.6
End0.0
Second
128
#47
28.51.6
16.518.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
blue by 8.7
1884
#31
37.33.4
23.927.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Third
3324
#57
18.91.3
13.815.1
Auto1.1
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5465
#51
22.32.5
11.313.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0