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Red184
543137.8
82950.4
23366.3
Blue104
418351.8
287633.2
176867.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107134050150200250300184104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#8
66.33.4
44.748.1
Auto9.4
Teleop57.0
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1768
#43
67.41.5
64.863.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop67.9
End0.0
Second
829
#15
50.43.4
45.248.6
Auto1.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
blue by 1.5
4183
#12
51.81.5
35.634.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Third
5431
#26
37.83.8
25.529.3
Auto0.6
Teleop37.1
End0.0
red by 4.6
2876
#59
33.21.5
34.633.0
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0