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Red134
7547.9
353660.4
372123.4
Blue53
55467.9
32945.4
283455.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106912040608012014016018013453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.3
47.348.6
Auto1.7
Teleop58.7
End0.0
red by 4.9
2834
#32
55.42.2
50.648.4
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
Second
75
#34
47.91.3
38.039.3
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
red by 2.5
329
#30
45.42.2
43.841.6
Auto5.1
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Third
3721
#63
23.41.3
22.423.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 15.5
5546
#67
7.92.9
2.8-0.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0