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Qual 192015 Carver Division
Red218
36877.8
249126.1
35968.3
Blue206
438452.2
496771.7
233757.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131158050100200250300218206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#4
77.83.9
66.1→70.0
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
red by 6.2
4967
#6
71.72.3
66.4→68.7
Auto10.5
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Second
359
#11
68.33.9
57.6→61.5
Auto-1.8
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 10.9
2337
#13
57.42.3
49.8→52.2
Auto1.9
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Third
2491
#33
26.13.9
16.3→20.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 26.1
4384
#25
52.22.3
43.4→45.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop52.3
End0.0