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Red80
47218.5
36877.8
58511.0
Blue58
21619.3
332418.9
159252.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807740601001201408058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#4
77.80.1
70.069.9
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
red by 25.8
1592
#37
52.10.9
48.347.4
Auto5.8
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Second
585
#66
11.00.1
6.26.1
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 8.3
216
#62
19.30.9
18.918.0
Auto0.8
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Third
4721
#72
8.50.1
5.25.1
Auto-1.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 10.4
3324
#57
18.90.9
15.114.1
Auto1.1
Teleop17.8
End0.0