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Qual 272015 Carver Division
Red170
314042.2
186827.5
438149.2
Blue121
287633.2
380221.4
97178.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011006080120140160170121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#45
49.23.4
47.8→51.3
Auto0.6
Teleop48.6
End0.0
blue by 28.9
971
#1
78.10.7
58.2→58.9
Auto6.3
Teleop71.8
End0.0
Second
3140
#48Sur
42.23.4
37.8→41.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 9.0
2876
#59Sur
33.20.7
33.0→33.7
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Third
1868
#41
27.53.4
16.1→19.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 6.1
3802
#60
21.40.7
15.3→16.1
Auto2.6
Teleop18.8
End0.0