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Red126
35968.3
171849.2
54585.9
Blue98
249126.1
162539.0
491554.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116925015020012698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#11
68.30.5
61.562.0
Auto-1.8
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 13.7
4915
#28
54.60.2
44.544.8
Auto0.1
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Second
1718
#35
49.20.5
44.745.2
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
red by 10.2
1625
#54
39.00.2
34.634.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Third
5458
#74
5.90.5
10.511.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 20.2
2491
#33
26.10.2
20.220.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.2
End0.0