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Red143
544242.6
176867.4
540246.5
Blue120
529117.1
12660.0
142538.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359950150200143120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#43
67.40.4
63.363.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop67.9
End0.0
red by 7.4
126
#9
60.00.9
52.653.4
Auto0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
Second
5402
#22
46.50.4
41.942.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop46.9
End0.0
red by 8.0
1425
#46
38.50.9
38.138.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
5442
#16
42.60.4
29.129.6
Auto0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
red by 25.5
5291
#76
17.10.9
18.219.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0