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Red70
263043.9
453624.4
551514.8
Blue52
491144.7
494517.7
425342.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5810601502007052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
#18
43.90.1
33.233.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4911
#61DQ
44.72.5
46.644.0
Auto1.0
Teleop43.7
End0.0
Second
4536
#52
24.40.1
17.317.5
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 18.3
4253
#53
42.72.5
43.941.4
Auto0.4
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Third
5515
#73
14.80.1
16.917.0
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4945
#50
17.72.8
11.89.0
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0