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Red159
372123.4
276760.8
188437.3
Blue128
33729.4
353660.4
82950.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103117050150200250300350400159128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#24
60.82.5
58.460.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 0.4
60.40.5
48.649.1
Auto1.7
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Second
1884
#31
37.33.0
27.330.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.8
End0.0
blue by 13.1
829
#15
50.40.5
48.649.1
Auto1.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Third
3721
#63
23.42.5
23.726.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
337
#39
29.40.5
21.722.2
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0