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Red152
351248.9
546522.3
418351.8
Blue97
365332.1
568916.2
19350.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858370809010011012014015297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#12
51.83.5
34.037.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 1.7
193
#38
50.10.5
52.152.6
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
Second
3512
#23
48.93.5
39.643.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 16.8
3653
#64
32.10.5
27.427.9
Auto0.5
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Third
5465
#51
22.33.5
13.917.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 6.1
5689
#55
16.20.5
7.17.6
Auto1.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0