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Red135
47218.5
14439.6
7158.0
Blue191
496771.7
543137.8
341954.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64173050100150200250300135191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#29
58.02.5
50.653.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop58.4
End0.0
blue by 13.6
71.71.5
68.770.2
Auto10.5
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Second
144
#49
39.62.5
28.431.0
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0
blue by 15.0
3419
#21
54.61.5
63.865.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop55.2
End0.0
Third
4721
#72
8.52.5
5.17.7
Auto-1.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 29.2
5431
#26
37.81.5
29.330.8
Auto0.6
Teleop37.1
End0.0