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Red82
335222.8
356631.7
526043.7
Blue106
21619.3
171761.1
350420.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8980406010012014082106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5260
#40
43.70.4
46.746.2
Auto0.1
Teleop43.6
End0.0
blue by 17.4
61.11.7
46.848.5
Auto7.8
Teleop53.2
End0.0
Second
3566
#44
31.70.4
26.726.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 11.5
3504
#56
20.21.7
19.521.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
3352
#58
22.80.4
17.316.9
Auto1.8
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 3.6
216
#62
19.31.7
18.019.7
Auto0.8
Teleop18.5
End0.0