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Qual 382015 Carver Division
Red100
285268.8
543731.9
283455.4
Blue127
400152.1
403956.4
350718.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811450100150200100127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#27
68.82.0
69.5→67.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 12.4
4039
#14
56.40.2
50.4→50.6
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0
Second
2834
#32
55.42.0
48.4→46.4
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
4001
#19
52.10.2
51.9→52.1
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
Third
5437
#36
31.92.0
21.5→19.5
Auto2.0
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 13.6
3507
#68
18.30.2
20.0→20.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop18.8
End0.0