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Red122
159252.1
353660.4
120852.1
Blue137
249126.1
494517.7
97178.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15573050100200250122137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.3
49.147.8
Auto1.7
Teleop58.7
End0.0
blue by 17.7
971
#1
78.12.4
58.961.3
Auto6.3
Teleop71.8
End0.0
Second
1208
#20
52.11.3
51.149.8
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 26.0
2491
#33
26.12.4
20.422.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.2
End0.0
Third
1592
#37
52.11.3
47.446.2
Auto5.8
Teleop46.3
End0.0
red by 34.4
4945
#50
17.72.4
9.011.4
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0