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Red170
438452.2
171849.2
544242.6
Blue90
32945.4
186827.5
546522.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1256905010015020017090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#25
52.22.4
46.248.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 6.8
329
#30
45.40.5
43.744.2
Auto5.1
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Second
1718
#35
49.22.4
45.247.6
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
red by 21.7
1868
#41
27.50.5
19.520.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
5442
#16
42.62.4
29.632.0
Auto0.0
Teleop42.6
End0.0
red by 20.3
5465
#51
22.30.5
17.417.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0