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Red120
213046.2
19350.1
54585.9
Blue40
365332.1
55467.9
287633.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11052010015020012040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#38
50.10.7
52.653.4
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
red by 16.9
2876
#59
33.20.9
33.732.9
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
2130
#17
46.20.7
41.442.2
Auto0.2
Teleop46.0
End0.0
red by 14.2
3653
#64
32.10.9
27.927.0
Auto0.5
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Third
5458
#74
5.90.7
11.011.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 2.0
5546
#67
7.91.0
1.90.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0