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Red40
380221.4
384423.0
350420.2
Blue70
529117.1
7547.9
332418.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567101001502002503003504004070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3844
#71
23.01.0
23.522.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 24.9
75
#34
47.90.1
38.238.1
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
3802
#60DQ
21.41.0
16.115.0
Auto2.6
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 2.5
3324
#57
18.90.1
14.114.1
Auto1.1
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
3504
#56
20.21.0
21.220.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
5291
#76
17.10.1
19.019.0
Auto0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0