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Red128
491144.7
403956.4
388119.6
Blue142
12828.5
264822.9
171761.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108750100150128142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#14
56.40.9
50.651.5
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0
blue by 4.7
61.12.4
48.550.9
Auto7.8
Teleop53.2
End0.0
Second
4911
#61
44.70.9
44.044.9
Auto1.0
Teleop43.7
End0.0
red by 16.1
128
#47
28.52.4
19.121.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Third
3881
#65
19.60.9
15.716.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 3.3
2648
#75
22.92.4
26.028.5
Auto0.8
Teleop22.1
End0.0