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Red181
33729.4
283455.4
23366.3
Blue156
36877.8
356631.7
14439.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111125050150200250300350181156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#8
66.33.2
49.052.2
Auto9.4
Teleop57.0
End0.0
blue by 11.5
368
#4
77.81.4
69.971.3
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
Second
2834
#32
55.43.2
46.449.6
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 15.8
144
#49
39.61.4
31.032.4
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Third
337
#39
29.43.2
22.225.4
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3566
#44
31.71.4
26.227.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0