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Red190
198685.0
568916.2
12660.0
Blue119
496771.7
77115.0
453624.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14987050100200250190119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.02.3
83.185.4
Auto6.9
Teleop78.1
End0.0
red by 13.3
71.71.0
70.271.1
Auto10.5
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Second
126
#9
60.02.3
53.455.7
Auto0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 35.6
4536
#52
24.41.0
17.518.4
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
5689
#55
16.22.3
7.69.9
Auto1.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 1.2
771
#70
15.01.0
12.213.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0