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Red136
276760.8
314042.2
546522.3
Blue103
543731.9
7158.0
491144.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611390100110120130140150136103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#24
60.80.8
60.961.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop61.0
End0.0
red by 2.8
71
#29
58.00.7
53.152.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop58.4
End0.0
Second
3140
#48
42.20.8
41.242.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4911
#61
44.70.7
44.944.2
Auto1.0
Teleop43.7
End0.0
Third
5465
#51
22.30.8
17.918.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 9.6
5437
#36
31.90.7
19.518.8
Auto2.0
Teleop29.9
End0.0