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Red93
186827.5
54585.9
198685.0
Blue117
58511.0
283455.4
7547.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1188505010015020093117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.01.2
85.484.2
Auto6.9
Teleop78.1
End0.0
red by 29.5
2834
#32
55.41.2
49.650.7
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
Second
1868
#41
27.51.2
20.018.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 20.3
75
#34
47.91.2
38.139.3
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
5458
#74
5.91.2
11.710.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 5.1
585
#66
11.01.2
5.87.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End0.0