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Red163
233757.4
159252.1
529117.1
Blue174
425342.7
188437.3
19350.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131220200300400500163174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#13
57.42.2
53.555.7
Auto1.9
Teleop55.5
End0.0
red by 7.3
193
#38
50.12.5
53.455.8
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
Second
1592
#37
52.12.2
46.248.4
Auto5.8
Teleop46.3
End0.0
red by 9.4
4253
#53
42.72.5
39.842.2
Auto0.4
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Third
5291
#76
17.12.2
19.021.2
Auto0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 20.2
1884
#31
37.32.5
31.734.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop37.8
End0.0