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Qual 542015 Carver Division
Red156
6666.5
543137.8
356631.7
Blue185
403956.4
351248.9
540246.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110136050200250300156185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#7
66.51.9
58.2→60.1
Auto1.3
Teleop65.2
End0.0
red by 10.1
4039
#14
56.42.4
51.5→53.9
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0
Second
5431
#26
37.81.9
32.6→34.5
Auto0.6
Teleop37.1
End0.0
blue by 11.1
3512
#23
48.92.4
43.6→46.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.1
End0.0
Third
3566
#44
31.71.9
27.7→29.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
blue by 14.7
5402
#22
46.52.4
42.1→44.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop46.9
End0.0