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Red169
526043.7
23366.3
543731.9
Blue160
17246.7
568916.2
162539.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11785050100150200169160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#8
66.32.6
52.254.8
Auto9.4
Teleop57.0
End0.0
red by 19.6
172
#42
46.73.4
47.751.0
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
5260
#40
43.72.6
45.147.8
Auto0.1
Teleop43.6
End0.0
red by 4.7
1625
#54
39.03.4
35.438.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop39.1
End0.0
Third
5437
#36
31.92.6
18.821.5
Auto2.0
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 15.7
5689
#55
16.23.4
9.913.2
Auto1.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0