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Red180
12660.0
491554.6
120852.1
Blue162
341954.6
36877.8
33729.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431550100200300400180162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#9
60.01.5
55.757.2
Auto0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
blue by 17.9
368
#4
77.80.1
71.371.5
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
Second
4915
#28
54.61.5
44.546.0
Auto0.1
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Level
3419
#21
54.60.1
62.362.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop55.2
End0.0
Third
1208
#20
52.11.5
49.851.3
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
red by 22.7
337
#39
29.40.1
25.425.5
Auto0.1
Teleop29.3
End0.0