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Red124
453624.4
102461.8
403956.4
Blue145
380221.4
23366.3
263043.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359750150200124145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#10
61.80.5
59.158.6
Auto2.7
Teleop59.1
End0.0
blue by 4.5
233
#8
66.32.8
54.857.6
Auto9.4
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
4039
#14
56.40.5
53.953.4
Auto-2.6
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 12.5
2630
#18
43.92.8
36.739.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
Third
4536
#52
24.40.5
21.220.7
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 2.9
3802
#60
21.42.8
15.318.1
Auto2.6
Teleop18.8
End0.0