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Red150
494517.7
213046.2
491554.6
Blue120
543137.8
418351.8
21619.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9991406080120140160150120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#28
54.62.4
46.048.4
Auto0.1
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 2.8
4183
#12
51.81.2
40.942.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Second
2130
#17
46.22.4
45.347.8
Auto0.2
Teleop46.0
End0.0
red by 8.5
5431
#26
37.81.2
34.535.7
Auto0.6
Teleop37.1
End0.0
Third
4945
#50
17.72.4
9.712.2
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 1.6
216
#62
19.31.2
20.421.6
Auto0.8
Teleop18.5
End0.0