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Qual 742015 Carver Division
Red106
540246.5
388119.6
17246.7
Blue224
353660.4
198685.0
546522.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101157050200250300106224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#42
46.70.4
51.0→50.6
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 38.3
1986
#3
85.03.5
84.2→87.7
Auto6.9
Teleop78.1
End0.0
Second
5402
#22
46.50.4
44.4→44.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop46.9
End0.0
blue by 13.9
3536
#2
60.43.5
51.0→54.5
Auto1.7
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Third
3881
#65
19.60.4
18.0→17.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5465
#51
22.33.5
18.7→22.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0