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Qual 752015 Carver Division
Red115
19350.1
276760.8
350420.2
Blue137
186827.5
142538.5
36877.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13612380100160180200115137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#24
60.81.2
64.5→63.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop61.0
End0.0
blue by 17.1
368
#4
77.80.4
71.5→71.9
Auto2.8
Teleop75.1
End0.0
Second
193
#38
50.11.2
55.8→54.7
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
red by 11.6
1425
#46
38.50.4
39.2→39.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
3504
#56
20.21.2
18.4→17.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 7.3
1868
#41
27.50.4
18.8→19.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.9
End0.0