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Red119
171849.2
285268.8
14439.6
Blue131
287633.2
120852.1
526043.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14712350100200119131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#27
68.81.5
67.065.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 16.7
1208
#20
52.10.0
51.351.2
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
Second
1718
#35
49.21.5
49.247.7
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
red by 5.5
5260
#40
43.70.0
47.847.7
Auto0.1
Teleop43.6
End0.0
Third
144
#49
39.61.5
32.731.2
Auto0.2
Teleop39.5
End0.0
red by 6.5
2876
#59
33.20.0
32.832.7
Auto0.5
Teleop32.7
End0.0